Mon, March 7, 2016
All Day
0035 Psychology Building
Time: 4 p.m.
Event Host: Decision Sciences Collaborative
Short Description: The Decision Sciences Collaborative will host University of Pennsylvania Professor Barbara Mellers and her seminar “Using forecasting tournaments to improve intuitive predictions and increase open-mindedness." Mellers has studied the best ways of crowd sourcing numerical forecasts and aggregating them as accurately as possible including the strategies of “superforecasters” who make forecasts that were more accurate than U.S. Intelligence Analysts predicting the same events but with classified information.
Event Host: Decision Sciences Collaborative
Short Description: The Decision Sciences Collaborative will host University of Pennsylvania Professor Barbara Mellers and her seminar “Using forecasting tournaments to improve intuitive predictions and increase open-mindedness." Mellers has studied the best ways of crowd sourcing numerical forecasts and aggregating them as accurately as possible including the strategies of “superforecasters” who make forecasts that were more accurate than U.S. Intelligence Analysts predicting the same events but with classified information.
The Decision Sciences Collaborative will host University of Pennsylvania Professor Barbara Mellers and her seminar “Using forecasting tournaments to improve intuitive predictions and increase open-mindedness." Mellers has studied the best ways of crowd sourcing numerical forecasts and aggregating them as accurately as possible including the strategies of “superforecasters” who make forecasts that were more accurate than U.S. Intelligence Analysts predicting the same events but with classified information.
For more about the lecture, visit the Decision Sciences Collaborative.